Cash
Portfolio
Trending

Midterms

ElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive28AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE28
2026 Midterms
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center

© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums

2026 Midterm Election Predictions

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Key races

Texas Senate winner?

Nov 3
Talarico63%
Paxton37%
Projected marginD +1.8

Maine Senate winner?

Nov 3
Jackson63%
Collins37%
Projected marginD +1.8

Michigan Senate winner?

Nov 3
El-Sayed68%
Rogers32%
Projected marginD +2.3

Ohio Senate winner?

Nov 3
Brown64%
Husted36%
Projected marginD +2.7

Iowa Senate winner?

Nov 3
Turek43%
Hinson57%
Projected marginR +1.0

Kansas Senate winner?

Nov 3
Hamilton39%
Marshall61%

Texas Governor winner?

Nov 3
Hinojosa29%
Abbott71%
Projected marginR +5.2

Nebraska Senate winner?

Nov 3
Osborn28%
Ricketts72%
Projected marginR +4.4

Georgia Governor winner?

Nov 3
Bottoms51%
Jackson49%
Projected marginD +0.3

Nevada Governor winner?

Nov 3
Ford57%
Lombardo43%
Projected marginD +0.9

MT-01 House winner?

Nov 3
Forstag35%
Flint65%
Projected marginR +1.9

NY-17 House winner?

Nov 3
Conley58%
Lawler42%
Projected marginD +1.0
SenateHouseGovernorStatesBalance of Power
Key races
Senate

Texas Senate winner?

James Talarico
James Talarico
James Talarico
1.52x
Ken Paxton
Ken Paxton
Ken Paxton
2.59x
$32,476,738 vol2 markets
Governor

Texas Governor winner?

Greg Abbott
Greg Abbott
Greg Abbott
1.36x
Gina Hinojosa
Gina Hinojosa
Gina Hinojosa
3.18x
$2,902,483 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas State House winner?

Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
1.20x
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
5.25x
$13,536 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas State Senate winner?

Republican party
Republican party
Republican party
1.06x
Democratic party
Democratic party
Democratic party
18.8x
$23,404 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas House of Representatives winner

Republican Party
Republican Party
Republican Party
1.25x
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
4.31x
$8,288 vol2 markets
House

How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?

12
3.96x
11
4.31x
$54,940 vol8 markets
Attorney General

Texas Attorney General winner?

 Mayes Middleton
 Mayes Middleton
Mayes Middleton
1.34x
Nathan Johnson
Nathan Johnson
Nathan Johnson
3.52x
$16,272 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?

Dan Patrick
Dan Patrick
Dan Patrick
1.28x
Vikki Goodwin
Vikki Goodwin
Vikki Goodwin
3.66x
$39,764 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner?

Nate Sheets
Nate Sheets
Nate Sheets
1.62x
Clayton Tucker
Clayton Tucker
Clayton Tucker
2.19x
$7,415 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Comptroller winner?

Don Huffines
Don Huffines
Don Huffines
1.20x
Sarah Eckhardt
Sarah Eckhardt
Sarah Eckhardt
3.80x
$168 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Land Commissioner winner?

Dawn Buckingham
Dawn Buckingham
Dawn Buckingham
1.16x
Benjamin Flores
Benjamin Flores
Benjamin Flores
4.13x
$84 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Railroad Commissioner winner

Bo French
Bo French
Bo French
1.70x
Jon Rosenthal
Jon Rosenthal
Jon Rosenthal
2.14x
$156,697 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Supreme Court Place 2 winner?

James P. Sullivan
James P. Sullivan
James P. Sullivan
1.06x
Chari Kelly
Chari Kelly
Chari Kelly
6.74x
$0 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner?

Kyle Hawkins
Kyle Hawkins
Kyle Hawkins
1.19x
Kristen Hawkins
Kristen Hawkins
Kristen Hawkins
3.80x
$387 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner?

Brett Busby
Brett Busby
Brett Busby
1.12x
Gisela D. Triana
Gisela D. Triana
Gisela D. Triana
4.98x
$0 vol2 markets
US Elections

Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?

Jimmy Blacklock
Jimmy Blacklock
Jimmy Blacklock
1.23x
Maggie Ellis
Maggie Ellis
Maggie Ellis
3.18x
$535 vol2 markets
US Elections

Bexar County Judge winner?

Ron Nirenberg
Ron Nirenberg
Ron Nirenberg
1.01x
Patrick Von Dohlen
Patrick Von Dohlen
Patrick Von Dohlen
23.4x
$32,014 vol2 markets
US Elections

Bexar County District Attorney winner?

Luz Elena Chapa
Luz Elena Chapa
Luz Elena Chapa
1.05x
Jason Wolff
Jason Wolff
Jason Wolff
9.41x
$1,364 vol3 markets
US Elections

Collin County Judge winner?

Chris Hill
Chris Hill
Chris Hill
1.14x
John Brown
John Brown
John Brown
5.56x
$1,370 vol2 markets
US Elections

Denton County Judge winner?

Andy Eads
Andy Eads
Andy Eads
1.12x
Nick Pappas
Nick Pappas
Nick Pappas
9.41x
$15,934 vol2 markets
US Elections

El Paso County Judge winner?

Ricardo Samaniego
Ricardo Samaniego
Ricardo Samaniego
1.01x
Minerva Torres Shelton
Minerva Torres Shelton
Minerva Torres Shelton
31.2x
$16,269 vol2 markets
US Elections

Fort Bend County Judge winner?

Dexter McCoy
Dexter McCoy
Dexter McCoy
1.16x
Daniel Wong
Daniel Wong
Daniel Wong
4.98x
$3,043 vol2 markets
US Elections

Harris County Judge winner?

Letitia Plummer
Letitia Plummer
Letitia Plummer
1.06x
Orlando Sanchez
Orlando Sanchez
Orlando Sanchez
9.41x
$6,883 vol2 markets
US Elections

Montgomery County, TX Judge winner?

Mark Keough
Mark Keough
Mark Keough
1.03x
James Graf
James Graf
James Graf
15.6x
$13,939 vol2 markets
US Elections

Tarrant County Judge winner?

Tim O'Hare
Tim O'Hare
Tim O’Hare
1.76x
Alisa Simmons
Alisa Simmons
Alisa Simmons
1.97x
$2,337 vol2 markets
US Elections

Williamson County Judge winner?

Heather Jefts
Heather Jefts
Heather Jefts
1.46x
Steven Snell
Steven Snell
Steven Snell
2.66x
$922 vol2 markets
Referendums

Will League City vote to keep its Flock cameras?

Yes
1.50x
No
2.29x
$440 vol1 market
Senate

Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)

Yes
1.42x
No
2.98x
$31,791 vol1 market
Senate

Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo

Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico
2.01x
Bo French & Ken Paxton
2.52x
$29,128 vol4 markets
Texas Elections

Texas Governor-Senate combo

Greg Abbott and James Talarico win
2.34x
Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win
2.59x
$133,922 vol4 markets
US Elections

How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win this year?

At least 2
1.90x
At least 3
2.46x
$1,772 vol7 markets
House

TX-01 House winner?

Nathaniel Moran
Nathaniel Moran
Nathaniel Moran
1.01x
Yolanda R. Prince
Yolanda R. Prince
Yolanda R. Prince
31.2x
$8,436 vol2 markets
House

TX-02 House winner?

Steve Toth
Steve Toth
Steve Toth
1.07x
Shaun Finnie
Shaun Finnie
Shaun Finnie
13.4x
$1,577 vol2 markets
House

TX-03 House winner?

Keith Self
Keith Self
Keith Self
1.05x
Evan Hunt
Evan Hunt
Evan Hunt
23.4x
$17,355 vol2 markets
House

TX-04 House winner?

Pat Fallon
Pat Fallon
Pat Fallon
1.03x
Jason Pearce
Jason Pearce
Jason Pearce
23.4x
$5,411 vol2 markets
House

TX-05 House winner?

Lance Gooden
Lance Gooden
Lance Gooden
1.01x
Chelsey Hockett
Chelsey Hockett
Chelsey Hockett
46.8x
$5,412 vol2 markets
House

TX-06 House winner?

Jake Ellzey
Jake Ellzey
Jake Ellzey
1.01x
Danny Minton
Danny Minton
Danny Minton
93.5x
$3,663 vol2 markets
House

TX-07 House winner?

Lizzie Fletcher
Lizzie Fletcher
Lizzie Fletcher
1.03x
Alexander Hale
Alexander Hale
Alexander Hale
31.2x
$40,140 vol2 markets
House

TX-08 House winner?

Jessica Steinmann
Jessica Steinmann
Jessica Steinmann
1.04x
Laura Jones
Laura Jones
Laura Jones
23.4x
$22,813 vol2 markets
House

TX-09 House winner?

Alex Mealer
Alex Mealer
Alex Mealer
1.16x
Leticia Gutierrez
Leticia Gutierrez
Leticia Gutierrez
5.56x
$30,843 vol2 markets
House

TX-10 House winner?

Chris Gober
Chris Gober
Chris Gober
1.08x
Caitlin Rourk
Caitlin Rourk
Caitlin Rourk
11.7x
$8,666 vol2 markets
House

TX-11 House winner?

August Pfluger
August Pfluger
August Pfluger
1.03x
Claire Reynolds
Claire Reynolds
Claire Reynolds
31.2x
$1,223 vol2 markets
House

TX-12 House winner?

Craig Goldman
Craig Goldman
Craig Goldman
1.05x
Angela Rodriguez Prilliman
Angela Rodriguez Prilliman
Angela Rodriguez Prilliman
18.8x
$7,475 vol2 markets
House

TX-13 House winner?

Ronny Jackson
Ronny Jackson
Ronny Jackson
1.03x
Mark Nair
Mark Nair
Mark Nair
23.4x
$25,490 vol2 markets
House

TX-14 House winner?

Randy Weber
Randy Weber
Randy Weber
1.05x
Thurman Bartie
Thurman Bartie
Thurman Bartie
31.2x
$5,299 vol2 markets
House

TX-15 House winner?

Bobby Pulido
Bobby Pulido
Bobby Pulido
1.15x
Monica De La Cruz
Monica De La Cruz
Monica De La Cruz
6.74x
$2,411,766 vol2 markets
House

TX-16 House winner?

Veronica Escobar
Veronica Escobar
Veronica Escobar
1.02x
Adam Bauman
Adam Bauman
Adam Bauman
23.4x
$683 vol2 markets
House

TX-17 House winner?

Pete Sessions
Pete Sessions
Pete Sessions
1.04x
Casey Shepard
Casey Shepard
Casey Shepard
23.4x
$30,129 vol2 markets
House

TX-18 House winner?

Christian Menefee
Christian Menefee
Christian Menefee
1.01x
Ronald Whitfield
Ronald Whitfield
Ronald Whitfield
46.8x
$1,187 vol2 markets
House

TX-19 House winner?

Tom Sell
Tom Sell
Tom Sell
1.03x
Kyle Rable
Kyle Rable
Kyle Rable
31.2x
$6,686 vol2 markets
House

TX-20 House winner?

Joaquin Castro
Joaquin Castro
Joaquin Castro
1.04x
Edgardo Baez
Edgardo Baez
Edgardo Baez
23.4x
$1,466 vol2 markets
House

TX-21 House winner?

Mark Teixeira
Mark Teixeira
Mark Teixeira
1.03x
Kristin Hook
Kristin Hook
Kristin Hook
23.4x
$11,778 vol2 markets
House

TX-22 House winner?

Trever Nehls
Trever Nehls
Trever Nehls
1.05x
Marquette Greene-Scott
Marquette Greene-Scott
Marquette Greene-Scott
18.8x
$4,927 vol2 markets
House

TX-23 House winner?

Brandon Herrera
Brandon Herrera
Brandon Herrera
1.34x
Katy Padilla Stout
Katy Padilla Stout
Katy Padilla Stout
3.29x
$314,296 vol2 markets
House

TX-24 House winner?

Beth Van Duyne
Beth Van Duyne
Beth Van Duyne
1.08x
Kevin Burge
Kevin Burge
Kevin Burge
13.4x
$30,329 vol2 markets
House

TX-25 House winner?

Roger Williams
Roger Williams
Roger Williams
1.03x
Dione Sims
Dione Sims
Dione Sims
23.4x
$4,354 vol2 markets
House

TX-26 House winner?

Brandon Gill
Brandon Gill
Brandon Gill
1.03x
Steven Shook
Steven Shook
Steven Shook
46.8x
$20,363 vol2 markets
House

TX-27 House winner?

Michael Cloud
Michael Cloud
Michael Cloud
1.04x
Tanya Lloyd
Tanya Lloyd
Tanya Lloyd
13.4x
$9,268 vol2 markets
House

TX-28 House winner?

Henry Cuellar
Henry Cuellar
Henry Cuellar
1.08x
Tano Tijerina
Tano Tijerina
Tano Tijerina
11.7x
$234,802 vol2 markets
House

TX-29 House winner?

Sylvia Garcia
Sylvia Garcia
Sylvia Garcia
1.03x
Martha Fierro
Martha Fierro
Martha Fierro
31.2x
$2,021 vol2 markets
House

TX-30 House winner?

Frederick Haynes III
Frederick Haynes III
Frederick Haynes III
1.01x
Everett Jackson
Everett Jackson
Everett Jackson
31.2x
$4,158 vol2 markets
House

TX-31 House winner?

John Carter
John Carter
John Carter
1.06x
Justin Early
Justin Early
Justin Early
18.8x
$7,110 vol2 markets
House

TX-32 House winner?

Jace Yarbrough
Jace Yarbrough
Jace Yarbrough
1.14x
Dan Barrios
Dan Barrios
Dan Barrios
6.29x
$33,568 vol2 markets
House

TX-33 House winner?

Colin Allred
Colin Allred
Colin Allred
1.02x
Patrick David Gillespie
Patrick David Gillespie
Patrick David Gillespie
23.4x
$936 vol2 markets
House

TX-34 House winner?

Vicente Gonzalez
Vicente Gonzalez
Vicente Gonzalez
1.18x
Eric Flores
Eric Flores
Eric Flores
5.56x
$93,116 vol2 markets
House

TX-35 House winner?

Johnny C. Garcia
Johnny C. Garcia
Johnny C. Garcia
1.52x
Carlos De La Cruz
Carlos De La Cruz
Carlos De La Cruz
2.59x
$239,107 vol2 markets
House

TX-36 House winner?

Brian Babin
Brian Babin
Brian Babin
1.05x
Rhonda Hart
Rhonda Hart
Rhonda Hart
18.8x
$6,352 vol2 markets
House

TX-37 House winner?

Greg Casar
Greg Casar
Greg Casar
1.02x
Lauren B. Peña
Lauren B. Peña
Lauren B. Peña
23.4x
$2,412 vol2 markets
House

TX-38 House winner?

Jon Bonck
Jon Bonck
Jon Bonck
1.03x
Melissa McDonough
Melissa McDonough
Melissa McDonough
23.4x
$8,394 vol2 markets