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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
2026 Midterm Election Predictions
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Key races
All
Texas Senate winner?
Nov 3
Talarico
63%
Paxton
37%
Projected margin
D +1.8
Maine Senate winner?
Nov 3
Jackson
63%
Collins
37%
Projected margin
D +1.8
Michigan Senate winner?
Nov 3
El-Sayed
68%
Rogers
32%
Projected margin
D +2.3
Ohio Senate winner?
Nov 3
Brown
64%
Husted
36%
Projected margin
D +2.7
Iowa Senate winner?
Nov 3
Turek
43%
Hinson
57%
Projected margin
R +1.0
Kansas Senate winner?
Nov 3
Hamilton
39%
Marshall
61%
Texas Governor winner?
Nov 3
Hinojosa
29%
Abbott
71%
Projected margin
R +5.2
Nebraska Senate winner?
Nov 3
Osborn
28%
Ricketts
72%
Projected margin
R +4.4
Georgia Governor winner?
Nov 3
Bottoms
51%
Jackson
49%
Projected margin
D +0.3
Nevada Governor winner?
Nov 3
Ford
57%
Lombardo
43%
Projected margin
D +0.9
MT-01 House winner?
Nov 3
Forstag
35%
Flint
65%
Projected margin
R +1.9
NY-17 House winner?
Nov 3
Conley
58%
Lawler
42%
Projected margin
D +1.0
Senate
House
Governor
States
Balance of Power
Texas
69 markets
Key races
Texas
Maine
Michigan
Ohio
Iowa
Kansas
Senate
Texas Senate winner?
James Talarico
1.52
x
64
%
Ken Paxton
2.59
x
36
%
$32,476,738 vol
2 markets
Governor
Texas Governor winner?
Greg Abbott
1.36
x
72
%
Gina Hinojosa
3.18
x
30
%
$2,902,483 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas State House winner?
Republican party
1.20
x
82
%
Democratic party
5.25
x
18
%
$13,536 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas State Senate winner?
Republican party
1.06
x
94
%
Democratic party
18.8
x
5
%
$23,404 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas House of Representatives winner
Republican Party
1.25
x
78
%
Democratic Party
4.31
x
22
%
$8,288 vol
2 markets
House
How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas?
12
3.96
x
24
%
11
4.31
x
21
%
$54,940 vol
8 markets
Attorney General
Texas Attorney General winner?
Mayes Middleton
1.34
x
73
%
Nathan Johnson
3.52
x
27
%
$16,272 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas Lieutenant Governor winner?
Dan Patrick
1.28
x
77
%
Vikki Goodwin
3.66
x
26
%
$39,764 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas Commissioner of Agriculture winner?
Nate Sheets
1.62
x
60
%
Clayton Tucker
2.19
x
41
%
$7,415 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas Comptroller winner?
Don Huffines
1.20
x
84
%
Sarah Eckhardt
3.80
x
25
%
$168 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas Land Commissioner winner?
Dawn Buckingham
1.16
x
85
%
Benjamin Flores
4.13
x
15
%
$84 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas Railroad Commissioner winner
Bo French
1.70
x
57
%
Jon Rosenthal
2.14
x
46
%
$156,697 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas Supreme Court Place 2 winner?
James P. Sullivan
1.06
x
90
%
Chari Kelly
6.74
x
10
%
$0 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas Supreme Court Place 7 winner?
Kyle Hawkins
1.19
x
79
%
Kristen Hawkins
3.80
x
21
%
$387 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas Supreme Court Place 8 winner?
Brett Busby
1.12
x
85
%
Gisela D. Triana
4.98
x
15
%
$0 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Texas Supreme Court Chief Justice winner?
Jimmy Blacklock
1.23
x
75
%
Maggie Ellis
3.18
x
25
%
$535 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Bexar County Judge winner?
Ron Nirenberg
1.01
x
99
%
Patrick Von Dohlen
23.4
x
3
%
$32,014 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Bexar County District Attorney winner?
Luz Elena Chapa
1.05
x
89
%
Jason Wolff
9.41
x
6
%
$1,364 vol
3 markets
US Elections
Collin County Judge winner?
Chris Hill
1.14
x
82
%
John Brown
5.56
x
14
%
$1,370 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Denton County Judge winner?
Andy Eads
1.12
x
90
%
Nick Pappas
9.41
x
10
%
$15,934 vol
2 markets
US Elections
El Paso County Judge winner?
Ricardo Samaniego
1.01
x
99
%
Minerva Torres Shelton
31.2
x
1
%
$16,269 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Fort Bend County Judge winner?
Dexter McCoy
1.16
x
81
%
Daniel Wong
4.98
x
19
%
$3,043 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Harris County Judge winner?
Letitia Plummer
1.06
x
90
%
Orlando Sanchez
9.41
x
9
%
$6,883 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Montgomery County, TX Judge winner?
Mark Keough
1.03
x
97
%
James Graf
15.6
x
5
%
$13,939 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Tarrant County Judge winner?
Tim O’Hare
1.76
x
51
%
Alisa Simmons
1.97
x
49
%
$2,337 vol
2 markets
US Elections
Williamson County Judge winner?
Heather Jefts
1.46
x
67
%
Steven Snell
2.66
x
23
%
$922 vol
2 markets
Referendums
Will League City vote to keep its Flock cameras?
Yes
1.50
x
65
%
No
2.29
x
35
%
$440 vol
1 market
Senate
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)
Yes
1.42
x
68
%
No
2.98
x
32
%
$31,791 vol
1 market
Senate
Texas Railroad Commissioner & Senate combo
Jon Rosenthal & James Talarico
2.01
x
45
%
Bo French & Ken Paxton
2.52
x
38
%
$29,128 vol
4 markets
Texas Elections
Texas Governor-Senate combo
Greg Abbott and James Talarico win
2.34
x
41
%
Greg Abbott and Ken Paxton win
2.59
x
36
%
$133,922 vol
4 markets
US Elections
How many Texas statewide races will Democrats win this year?
At least 2
1.90
x
50
%
At least 3
2.46
x
43
%
$1,772 vol
7 markets
House
TX-01 House winner?
Nathaniel Moran
1.01
x
96
%
Yolanda R. Prince
31.2
x
3
%
$8,436 vol
2 markets
House
TX-02 House winner?
Steve Toth
1.07
x
93
%
Shaun Finnie
13.4
x
6
%
$1,577 vol
2 markets
House
TX-03 House winner?
Keith Self
1.05
x
94
%
Evan Hunt
23.4
x
6
%
$17,355 vol
2 markets
House
TX-04 House winner?
Pat Fallon
1.03
x
96
%
Jason Pearce
23.4
x
1
%
$5,411 vol
2 markets
House
TX-05 House winner?
Lance Gooden
1.01
x
96
%
Chelsey Hockett
46.8
x
4
%
$5,412 vol
2 markets
House
TX-06 House winner?
Jake Ellzey
1.01
x
97
%
Danny Minton
93.5
x
1
%
$3,663 vol
2 markets
House
TX-07 House winner?
Lizzie Fletcher
1.03
x
97
%
Alexander Hale
31.2
x
3
%
$40,140 vol
2 markets
House
TX-08 House winner?
Jessica Steinmann
1.04
x
95
%
Laura Jones
23.4
x
3
%
$22,813 vol
2 markets
House
TX-09 House winner?
Alex Mealer
1.16
x
85
%
Leticia Gutierrez
5.56
x
18
%
$30,843 vol
2 markets
House
TX-10 House winner?
Chris Gober
1.08
x
92
%
Caitlin Rourk
11.7
x
9
%
$8,666 vol
2 markets
House
TX-11 House winner?
August Pfluger
1.03
x
97
%
Claire Reynolds
31.2
x
5
%
$1,223 vol
2 markets
House
TX-12 House winner?
Craig Goldman
1.05
x
95
%
Angela Rodriguez Prilliman
18.8
x
3
%
$7,475 vol
2 markets
House
TX-13 House winner?
Ronny Jackson
1.03
x
97
%
Mark Nair
23.4
x
3
%
$25,490 vol
2 markets
House
TX-14 House winner?
Randy Weber
1.05
x
96
%
Thurman Bartie
31.2
x
4
%
$5,299 vol
2 markets
House
TX-15 House winner?
Bobby Pulido
1.15
x
86
%
Monica De La Cruz
6.74
x
14
%
$2,411,766 vol
2 markets
House
TX-16 House winner?
Veronica Escobar
1.02
x
98
%
Adam Bauman
23.4
x
3
%
$683 vol
2 markets
House
TX-17 House winner?
Pete Sessions
1.04
x
95
%
Casey Shepard
23.4
x
4
%
$30,129 vol
2 markets
House
TX-18 House winner?
Christian Menefee
1.01
x
96
%
Ronald Whitfield
46.8
x
2
%
$1,187 vol
2 markets
House
TX-19 House winner?
Tom Sell
1.03
x
93
%
Kyle Rable
31.2
x
3
%
$6,686 vol
2 markets
House
TX-20 House winner?
Joaquin Castro
1.04
x
97
%
Edgardo Baez
23.4
x
7
%
$1,466 vol
2 markets
House
TX-21 House winner?
Mark Teixeira
1.03
x
97
%
Kristin Hook
23.4
x
3
%
$11,778 vol
2 markets
House
TX-22 House winner?
Trever Nehls
1.05
x
95
%
Marquette Greene-Scott
18.8
x
5
%
$4,927 vol
2 markets
House
TX-23 House winner?
Brandon Herrera
1.34
x
73
%
Katy Padilla Stout
3.29
x
29
%
$314,296 vol
2 markets
House
TX-24 House winner?
Beth Van Duyne
1.08
x
93
%
Kevin Burge
13.4
x
7
%
$30,329 vol
2 markets
House
TX-25 House winner?
Roger Williams
1.03
x
95
%
Dione Sims
23.4
x
3
%
$4,354 vol
2 markets
House
TX-26 House winner?
Brandon Gill
1.03
x
96
%
Steven Shook
46.8
x
4
%
$20,363 vol
2 markets
House
TX-27 House winner?
Michael Cloud
1.04
x
93
%
Tanya Lloyd
13.4
x
5
%
$9,268 vol
2 markets
House
TX-28 House winner?
Henry Cuellar
1.08
x
92
%
Tano Tijerina
11.7
x
8
%
$234,802 vol
2 markets
House
TX-29 House winner?
Sylvia Garcia
1.03
x
94
%
Martha Fierro
31.2
x
2
%
$2,021 vol
2 markets
House
TX-30 House winner?
Frederick Haynes III
1.01
x
99
%
Everett Jackson
31.2
x
3
%
$4,158 vol
2 markets
House
TX-31 House winner?
John Carter
1.06
x
94
%
Justin Early
18.8
x
6
%
$7,110 vol
2 markets
House
TX-32 House winner?
Jace Yarbrough
1.14
x
87
%
Dan Barrios
6.29
x
13
%
$33,568 vol
2 markets
House
TX-33 House winner?
Colin Allred
1.02
x
99
%
Patrick David Gillespie
23.4
x
4
%
$936 vol
2 markets
House
TX-34 House winner?
Vicente Gonzalez
1.18
x
84
%
Eric Flores
5.56
x
17
%
$93,116 vol
2 markets
House
TX-35 House winner?
Johnny C. Garcia
1.52
x
63
%
Carlos De La Cruz
2.59
x
36
%
$239,107 vol
2 markets
House
TX-36 House winner?
Brian Babin
1.05
x
96
%
Rhonda Hart
18.8
x
4
%
$6,352 vol
2 markets
House
TX-37 House winner?
Greg Casar
1.02
x
98
%
Lauren B. Peña
23.4
x
3
%
$2,412 vol
2 markets
House
TX-38 House winner?
Jon Bonck
1.03
x
97
%
Melissa McDonough
23.4
x
8
%
$8,394 vol
2 markets