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House

TX-30 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Chance

Frederick Haynes III

Democratic party

96.8%

Frederick Haynes III

Democratic party

96.8%

Everett Jackson

Republican party

3.2%

Everett Jackson

Republican party

3.2%

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TX-30 House winner?

Frederick Haynes III

Dollars$

Odds

99% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Haynes

Nov 3 ·D +56.3margin forecast

Jackson

$25,671 vol

Race Intel

TX-30 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJasmine Crockett (D)Not seeking re-election

TX-30 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Everett JacksonR
$17.2K
11%
$17.2K raised·11% small donors
Frederick HaynesD
$657K
14%
$657K raised·14% small donors

Haynes vs. Jackson Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet

Kalshi oddsHaynes 97%Jackson 3% · $4,158 traded

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-30 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +47.0%2020D +56.8%