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  1. House

TX-19 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Tom Sell
Republican party
96.6%
▲ 0.5

Tom Sell

Republican party
96.6%
▲ 0.5
Kyle Rable
Democratic party
3.4%
▼ 0.5

Kyle Rable

Democratic party
3.4%
▼ 0.5
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TX-19 House winner?

Tom Sell

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Rable
Nov 3 ·R +40.7margin forecast
Sell
$7,418 vol
Race Intel

TX-19 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJodey Arrington (R)Not seeking re-election

TX-19 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kyle RableD
    $46.2K
    46%
    $46.2K raised·46% small donors
  • Tom SellR
    $2.4M
    0.4%
    $2.4M raised·0.4% small donors

Sell vs. Rable Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsSell 97%Rable 3% · $6,686 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-19 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +51.7%2020R +46.2%