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Big Tech & Business

AIDec 31

Best AI at the end of 2026?

Claude

Gemini

$67,581,495 vol6 more

Best AI at the end of 2026?

MarketPays outOdds

Claude

2.01x

Gemini

2.59x

ChatGPT

11.7x

Grok

46.8x

$67,581,495 vol4 more

1 of 3

EV market share in 2030?

Above 50%

3.96x

Above 20%

--

$88,466 vol4 markets

How many launches will SpaceX have in October?

Above 16

1.34x

Above 10

1.18x

$61 vol11 markets

Tesla

Tesla Optimus on sale before 2026?

Yes

1.01x

No

--

$20,530 vol1 market

Starship manned mission to Mars launched before 2030?

Yes

--

No

1.02x

$17,691 vol1 market

When will OpenAI achieve AGI?

Yes

--

No

--

$45,781 vol1 market

Will a court find that OpenAI has infringed the copyright of the New York Times?

Yes

--

No

--

$13,104 vol1 market

NASA lands on the moon?

Before 2027

1.93x

Before 2028

--

$63,517 vol4 markets

When will Yang–Mills and the Mass Gap be resolved?

Before 2027

--

Before 2028

--

$0 vol6 markets

Big Tech & Business

Where will Waymo operate this year?

Charlotte, NC

--

Baltimore, MD

1.01x

$101 vol18 markets

Top Text to Video AI this week

Alibaba

--

ByteDance

--

$0 vol10 markets

Number of data centers in Virginia this year?

At least 680

--

At least 700

--

$0 vol6 markets

US test scores in Reading this year?

No significant difference

1.02x

Significant decrease

--

$59,006 vol3 markets

Will the US lose measles elimination status this year?

Yes

--

No

--

Number of US data centers at the end of 2026?

At least 5,300

--

At least 5,400

--

$9 vol17 markets

Number of data centers in Texas this year?

At least 540

--

At least 580

--

$0 vol6 markets

Most popular AI this week

Anthropic

--

DeepSeek

--

$0 vol7 markets

Top AI model this month

gemini-4-argon-high

--

claude-opus-5.5-high

--

$0 vol3 markets

Best LLM at the end of the decade?

Amazon

--

Anthropic

--

$0 vol34 markets

Which companies will have a top-ranked AI model this year?

Zhipu AI

1.03x

Deepseek

--

$233,890 vol13 markets

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

Above 450T tokens

--

Above 500T tokens

--

$5 vol12 markets

OpenRouter token usage in Oct 19–25

Above 156T tokens

--

Above 158T tokens

--

$0 vol10 markets