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Space
Tokens
SpaceX
Aug 31
How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
Above 12
86
%
Above 13
8
%
$681,388 vol
7 more
SpaceX
How many launches will SpaceX have in August?
Market
Pays out
Odds
Above 12
1.13
x
86
%
Above 13
11.7
x
8
%
Above 11
1.01
x
99
%
Above 14
93.5
x
1
%
$681,388 vol
5 more
1 of 3
AI
Best AI at the end of 2026?
Claude
1.40
x
67
%
ChatGPT
8.56
x
9
%
$9,301,062 vol
8 markets
Industries
NVIDIA H200 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $4.50
2.19
x
35
%
Above $4.00
1.13
x
88
%
$72,470 vol
21 markets
Industries
NVIDIA H100 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $3.00
1.48
x
66
%
Above $3.25
4.51
x
28
%
$39,717 vol
12 markets
Industries
NVIDIA B200 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $6.50
2.40
x
39
%
Above $7.00
2.24
x
19
%
$68,571 vol
33 markets
Space
SpaceX Starship 14th launch?
Before Sep 18, 2026
1.73
x
58
%
Before Oct 1, 2026
1.07
x
90
%
$125,484 vol
4 markets
Industries
NVIDIA A100 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $1.00
1.02
x
98
%
Above $1.25
4.13
x
15
%
$28,918 vol
10 markets
Tech & Science
Measles cases this year?
Above 6000
3.08
x
30
%
Above 8000
5.90
x
17
%
$1,199,747 vol
5 markets
Space
Total space launches in August
Above 15
1.26
x
50
%
Above 16
7.85
x
13
%
$30,947 vol
8 markets
Industries
NVIDIA H100 · Average hourly price in August
Above $2.75
1.38
x
71
%
Above $3.00
46.8
x
1
%
$48,605 vol
9 markets
Industries
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Average hourly price in August
Above $0.50
1.09
x
90
%
Above $0.75
93.5
x
1
%
$88,785 vol
8 markets
AI
When will OpenAI release GPT-6?
Before Nov 1, 2026
1.79
x
54
%
Before 2027
1.36
x
72
%
$428,292 vol
4 markets
AI
Price of NVIDIA H100 SXM compute by end of month?
Above $3.06
1.79
x
44
%
Above $3.01
1.67
x
58
%
$38,309 vol
20 markets
AI
Top AI model in August
claude-opus-5-high
1.50
x
50
%
claude-opus-5-max
2.52
x
37
%
$135,169 vol
5 markets
AI
Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
Anthropic
1.60
x
60
%
OpenAI
3.40
x
24
%
$1,015,108 vol
9 markets
AI
Price of NVIDIA RTX 5090 compute by end of month?
Above $0.54
3.18
x
22
%
Above $0.49
1.23
x
74
%
$19,572 vol
19 markets
Industries
NVIDIA RTX 5090 · Hourly price on Aug 28 (Week 35)
Above $0.55
6.29
x
15
%
Above $0.50
1.12
x
89
%
$38,521 vol
17 markets
Tesla
Tesla Optimus released this year?
Yes
11.7
x
7
%
No
1.07
x
93
%
$351,322 vol
1 market
Industries
NVIDIA B200 · Average hourly price in August
Above $6.50
31.2
x
3
%
Above $6.00
1.01
x
98
%
$48,978 vol
9 markets
Energy
US grants license for new nuclear reactor before 2027?
Yes
8.56
x
11
%
No
1.10
x
89
%
$764,068 vol
1 market
Public Health
How many human screwworm cases will be reported in the United States this year?
Above 0
3.18
x
28
%
Above 1
7.25
x
14
%
$133,939 vol
6 markets
AI
Price of NVIDIA H200 compute by end of month?
Above $4.22
1.76
x
55
%
Above $4.32
1.97
x
61
%
$14,792 vol
30 markets