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House

TX-16 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Chance

Veronica Escobar

Democratic party

97%

Veronica Escobar

Democratic party

97%

Adam Bauman

Republican party

3%

Adam Bauman

Republican party

3%

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TX-16 House winner?

Veronica Escobar

Dollars$

Odds

99% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Escobar

Nov 3 ·D +31.7margin forecast

Bauman

$4,021 vol

Race Intel

TX-16 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentVeronica Escobar (D)Running for re-election

TX-16 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Adam BaumanR
—
—
Veronica EscobarD
$1M
2.5%
$1M raised·2.5% small donors

Escobar vs. Bauman Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet

Kalshi oddsEscobar 97%Bauman 3% · $683.09 traded

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-16 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +16.4%2020D +35.6%