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Recurring
Politics
Trending
Frequency
Government shutdown today?
Yes
1.01
x
99
%
No
93.52
x
1
%
$59,045,899 vol
1 market
Who will Trump nominate as Fed Chair?
Kevin Warsh
1.03
x
97
%
Judy Shelton
31.21
x
3
%
$103,500,498 vol
23 markets
How many days will the federal government be shut down before March?
More than 3 days
1.65
x
59
%
More than 5 days
3.18
x
30
%
$1,922,121 vol
8 markets
Ali Khamenei out as Supreme Leader?
Before July 1, 2026
2.24
x
43
%
Before September 1, 2026
1.70
x
57
%
$14,108,710 vol
5 markets
Will Trump sign an executive order this week (1/25-1/31)?
Yes
1.04
x
96
%
No
23.43
x
4
%
$989,351 vol
1 market
When will the government be fully funded?
Before Feb 4, 2026
1.48
x
66
%
Before Feb 3, 2026
3.08
x
31
%
$1,509,948 vol
9 markets
2028 Democratic nominee for President?
Gavin Newsom
2.89
x
33
%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
10.45
x
9
%
$43,106,279 vol
39 markets
Will Trump release more Epstein files this week (1/25-1/31)?
Yes
1.02
x
98
%
No
46.79
x
2
%
$296,344 vol
1 market
Who will be the first to leave the Trump Cabinet?
Kristi Noem
3.40
x
28
%
Pam Bondi
4.51
x
21
%
$7,634,008 vol
26 markets
Next U.S. Presidential Election Winner?
J.D. Vance
3.66
x
26
%
Gavin Newsom
4.73
x
20
%
$9,323,924 vol
23 markets
Powell out as Chair?
Before May 2026
8.56
x
11
%
Before November
93.52
x
1
%
$8,602,472 vol
6 markets
Government shutdown this year?
Yes
1.01
x
99
%
No
93.52
x
1
%
$332,721 vol
1 market
World leaders out before 2027?
Keir Starmer
1.93
x
50
%
Viktor Orbán
1.93
x
50
%
$3,982,986 vol
38 markets
Who will be the next governor of California? (Person)
Eric Swalwell
2.19
x
44
%
Matt Mahan
3.08
x
31
%
$1,887,647 vol
25 markets
Tim Walz out as Governor of Minnesota?
Before 2027
4.13
x
23
%
Before July
6.29
x
15
%
$4,782,391 vol
3 markets
Will Kevin Warsh be confirmed as Fed Chair?
Before Apr 1, 2026
2.52
x
38
%
Before May 1, 2026
1.42
x
69
%
$96,128 vol
6 markets
Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist before 2027?
Yes
6.29
x
15
%
No
1.16
x
85
%
$937,188 vol
1 market
Who will Trump talk to in January?
Vladimir Putin
1.55
x
63
%
Hakeem Jeffries
18.75
x
5
%
$560,816 vol
20 markets
Will the Supreme Court rule in favor of Trump's tariffs?
Yes
2.89
x
33
%
No
1.46
x
67
%
$4,630,442 vol
1 market
Donald Trump out as President?
Before January 20, 2029
2.24
x
43
%
Before 2028
3.08
x
31
%
$1,924,832 vol
3 markets
Who will vote for the next government funding bill in the Senate?
Rand Paul
93.52
x
1
%
Bernie Sanders
93.52
x
1
%
$143,101 vol
23 markets
Which party will win the Special Election for TX-18?
Democratic Party
1.01
x
99
%
Republican Party
93.52
x
1
%
$326,689 vol
2 markets
How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?
4
1.52
x
64
%
3
2.59
x
37
%
$463,495 vol
5 markets
Who will win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?
António José Seguro
1.02
x
98
%
André Ventura
46.79
x
2
%
$959,187 vol
8 markets
