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SCOTUS & courts

TrumpDec 31

Who will be Trump’s next Press Secretary?

Anna Kelly

Anna Kelly

Anna Kelly

Scott Jennings

Scott Jennings

Scott Jennings

$2,224,896 vol60 more

Who will be Trump’s next Press Secretary?

MarketPays outOdds

Anna Kelly

Anna Kelly

Anna Kelly

6.29x

Scott Jennings

Scott Jennings

Scott Jennings

7.25x

Elizabeth Pipko

Elizabeth Pipko

Elizabeth Pipko

15.6x

Danielle Alvarez

Danielle Alvarez

Danielle Alvarez

31.2x

$2,224,896 vol58 more

1 of 3

Trump Truth Social posts this week? (10/18-10/24)

>240

3.80x

220-240

3.96x

$92,327 vol9 markets

Traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 25

2.01x

Above 27

1.93x

$93,841 vol8 markets

Trump’s RCP approval average tomorrow?

38.8%

3.08x

38.7%

4.31x

$43,652 vol9 markets

Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 195

2.19x

Above 190

1.48x

$80,070 vol9 markets

Will Trump be impeached?

Before Aug 1, 2027

1.97x

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.97x

$4,970,676 vol10 markets

SCOTUS & courts

Who will be charged with a federal crime this year?

Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar

2.34x

Cassidy Hutchinson

Cassidy Hutchinson

Cassidy Hutchinson

3.08x

$2,148,158 vol43 markets

Will Ilhan Omar’s citizenship be revoked this year?

Yes

10.4x

No

1.08x

$140,659 vol1 market

Traffic through the Bab el-Mandeb Strait? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 185

2.14x

Above 190

2.29x

$72,314 vol11 markets

Who will leave their role in the Trump administration this year?

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

Susie Wiles

2.46x

Doug Collins

Doug Collins

Doug Collins

2.98x

$8,129,666 vol31 markets

How many times will Trump visit Mar-a-Lago this month?

3

1.22x

2

3.66x

$103,548 vol5 markets

How many presidential actions will Trump take this week? (10/18-10/24)

At least 5

2.19x

At least 4

1.60x

$18,978 vol10 markets

Trump’s approval rating on Friday?

38.4 to 38.6

3.66x

38.7 to 38.9

3.40x

$39,296 vol8 markets

Traffic through the Suez Canal? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 290

1.65x

Above 300

2.81x

$65,276 vol8 markets

Will France declare a state of emergency?

Before Jan 1, 2027

4.13x

Before Nov 1, 2026

7.25x

$23,485 vol2 markets

Peak traffic through the Strait of Hormuz? (10/19 - 10/25)

Above 6

2.19x

Above 5

1.31x

$21,088 vol8 markets

Will marijuana be rescheduled?

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.93x

Before Oct 1, 2027

1.57x

$7,439,026 vol6 markets

When will Russian diesel be imported into the U.S.?

Before Jan 1, 2027

2.59x

Before Dec 1, 2026

4.13x

$7,079 vol3 markets

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (10/19 - 10/25)

October 19

5.25x

October 21

6.29x

$8,279 vol7 markets

How many people will Trump endorse on Truth Social this week? (10/17-10/23)

At least 20

1.86x

At least 25

3.40x

$14,914 vol6 markets

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense?

Before Jul 1, 2027

1.86x

Before Apr 1, 2027

2.01x

$1,488,394 vol9 markets

Who will officially lead Venezuela at the end of 2026?

Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

Nicolás Maduro

1.19x

Delcy Rodríguez

Delcy Rodríguez

Delcy Rodríguez

4.98x

$5,748,417 vol18 markets