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US Elections

All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
House

Which party will win the U.S. House?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.09x
Republican Party
Republican Party
Republican Party
10.4x
$34,317,054 vol2 markets
2028

2028 Democratic presidential nominee

Jon Ossoff
Jon Ossoff
Jon Ossoff
5.56x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
5.90x
$222,647,335 vol48 markets
Mayor

Los Angeles Mayor winner?

Karen Bass
Karen Bass
Karen Bass
1.83x
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
Nithya Raman
2.05x
$95,687,653 vol2 markets
Senate

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep
Democrats sweep
Democrats sweep
1.60x
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
D-House, R-Senate
3.29x
$17,245,373 vol4 markets
2028

2028 Republican presidential nominee

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
2.09x
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
Marco Rubio
4.51x
$65,355,081 vol38 markets
2028

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
J.D. Vance
4.31x
Jon Ossoff
Jon Ossoff
Jon Ossoff
7.85x
$67,998,598 vol30 markets
Senate

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Democratic Party
Democratic Party
Democratic Party
1.60x
Republican Party
Republican Party
Republican Party
2.40x
$9,387,547 vol2 markets
Senate

Maine-Texas Senate Combo

James Talarico and Troy Jackson
1.97x
Ken Paxton and Susan Collins
3.80x
$803,248 vol6 markets
House

Midterms: House popular vote margin of victory? (Generic ballot)

Democrats, 8 to 10%
3.80x
Democrats, 10 to 12%
4.13x
$1,673,805 vol10 markets
Senate

Blue wave this year?

Yes
1.20x
No
4.98x
$679,591 vol1 market
Senate

Texas Senate margin of victory

James Talarico, 1+ pts
James Talarico, 1+ pts
James Talarico, 1+ pts
1.83x
James Talarico, 3+ pts
James Talarico, 3+ pts
James Talarico, 3+ pts
2.52x
$140,830 vol4 markets
US Elections

Michigan Senate winner? (Person)

Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed
Abdul El-Sayed
1.48x
Mike Rogers
Mike Rogers
Mike Rogers
2.73x
$1,948,028 vol4 markets
US Elections

Alaska Governor winner? (Person)

Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
Jonathan Kreiss-Tomkins
1.20x
Bernadette Wilson
Bernadette Wilson
Bernadette Wilson
6.74x
$658,964 vol16 markets
US Elections

Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?

Yes
2.81x
No
1.46x
$909,207 vol1 market
2028

2028 Democratic VP nominee

Elissa Slotkin
Elissa Slotkin
Elissa Slotkin
8.56x
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
13.4x
$3,005,911 vol45 markets
Senate

Texas Senate: Exact outcome

Talarico defeats Paxton
1.65x
Paxton defeats Talarico
2.24x
$341,144 vol2 markets
Senate

Florida Senate margin of victory

Moody, 8+ pts
Moody, 8+ pts
Moody, 8+ pts
2.01x
Moody, 6+ pts
Moody, 6+ pts
Moody, 6+ pts
1.65x
$35,390 vol9 markets
Governor

Georgia Governor margin of victory

Bottoms, 1+ pts
Bottoms, 1+ pts
Bottoms, 1+ pts
1.86x
Bottoms, 4+ pts
Bottoms, 4+ pts
Bottoms, 4+ pts
2.66x
$12,001 vol5 markets
House

AL-02 House winner?

Rhett Marques
Rhett Marques
Rhett Marques
1.38x
Shomari Figures
Shomari Figures
Shomari Figures
3.29x
$117,628 vol2 markets
2028

Who will run for the Democratic presidential nomination in 2028?

Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris
Kamala Harris
1.79x
Mitch Landrieu
Mitch Landrieu
Mitch Landrieu
1.60x
$895,017 vol38 markets
House

FL-27 House winner?

Maria Elvira Salazar
Maria Elvira Salazar
Maria Elvira Salazar
1.36x
Eliott Rodriguez
Eliott Rodriguez
Eliott Rodriguez
3.18x
$37,738 vol2 markets
House

NY-21 House winner?

Anthony Constantino
Anthony Constantino
Anthony Constantino
1.22x
Blake Gendebien
Blake Gendebien
Blake Gendebien
4.98x
$59,817 vol2 markets
US Elections

Alaska Senate winner? (Person)

Mary Peltola
Mary Peltola
Mary Peltola
1.33x
Dan Sullivan
Dan Sullivan
Dan Sullivan
3.40x
$223,878 vol6 markets
Governor

California Governor winner? (Person)

Xavier Becerra
Xavier Becerra
Xavier Becerra
1.04x
Steve Hilton
Steve Hilton
Steve Hilton
31.2x
$52,343,410 vol2 markets