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Elections

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US Elections
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International elections
Brazil

International elections

Clacton

Clacton by-election winner?

Reform UK
1.04x
Count Binface Party
15.6x
$739,903 vol5 markets
Clacton

Clacton by-election: 2nd place

Count Binface Party
1.33x
Reform UK
9.41x
$22,526 vol15 markets
Clacton

Clacton by-election margin of victory?

Reform UK, ≥50%
1.83x
Reform UK, ≥55%
2.01x
$42,824 vol16 markets
International elections

Early elections in the UK announced?

Before Jan 1, 2028
2.73x
Before Jan 1, 2027
9.41x
$55,386 vol3 markets
Clacton

Clacton by-election: Count Binface vote percent

At least 20%
2.09x
At least 15%
1.48x
$61,226 vol8 markets
International elections

Next French presidential election winner?

Marine Le Pen
Marine Le Pen
Marine Le Pen
2.52x
Édouard Philippe
Édouard Philippe
Édouard Philippe
3.52x
$227,234 vol28 markets
International elections

French socialist bloc presidential primary winner?

Olivier Faure
4.13x
Philippe Brun
4.98x
$7,898 vol7 markets
International elections

Who will succeed Netanyahu as Prime Minister of Israel?

Gadi Eisenkot
Gadi Eisenkot
Gadi Eisenkot
1.67x
Naftali Bennett
Naftali Bennett
Naftali Bennett
4.98x
$108,294 vol12 markets
International elections

Greater Manchester mayoral election winner?

Labour
1.02x
Green
15.6x
$53,795 vol6 markets
International elections

Argentina presidential election winner?

Javier Milei
1.62x
Axel Kicillof
2.24x
$25,227 vol7 markets
International elections

Saxony-Anhalt state election winner?

AfD
1.02x
CDU
46.8x
$100,727 vol7 markets
Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: 2nd Place

Flávio Bolsonaro
1.14x
Renan Santos
5.90x
$24,158 vol13 markets
International elections

Berlin state election winner?

Die Linke
2.46x
CDU
3.80x
$3,822 vol7 markets
International elections

Israeli legislation election winner?

Likud
2.01x
Yashar
2.19x
$64,338 vol6 markets
International elections

Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election?

Gadi Eizenkot
Gadi Eizenkot
Gadi Eizenkot
1.97x
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu
Benjamin Netanyahu
2.29x
$53,996 vol18 markets
Elections

Will the French United Left primary be canceled?

Yes
1.13x
No
5.56x
$514 vol1 market
International elections

São Toméan presidential election winner?

Carlos Vila Nova
1.09x
Nito D’Abreu
9.41x
$6,683 vol4 markets
Clacton

Clacton by-election: 3rd place

Count Binface Party
4.13x
Luke Worley
6.29x
$3,724 vol15 markets
International elections

Who will be named as Xi Jinping’s successor?

Chen Jining
4.31x
Ding Xuexiang
3.96x
$36,942 vol14 markets
International elections

Prime Minister of Sweden after the general election?

Magdalena Andersson
1.28x
Ulf Kristersson
3.80x
$219 vol4 markets
Elections

Andy Burnham appointed as Prime Minister?

Before July 18, 2026
46.8x
Before August 1, 2026
--
$64,904 vol3 markets
Brazil

Brazil Presidential Election First Round: Margin of Victory

Lula da Silva, 5-10%
2.66x
Lula da Silva, 10-15%
4.31x
$6,116 vol11 markets
International elections

How many UK parliamentary by-elections this year?

At least 7
1.70x
At least 8
2.98x
$2,251 vol5 markets
International elections

Iceland EU Membership Negotiations Referendum

Yes
1.60x
No
1.97x
$568 vol1 market