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House

TX-20 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Chance

Joaquin Castro

Democratic party

94.7%

Joaquin Castro

Democratic party

94.7%

Edgardo Baez

Republican party

5.3%

Edgardo Baez

Republican party

5.3%

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TX-20 House winner?

Joaquin Castro

Dollars$

Odds

97% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Castro

Nov 3 ·D +42.0margin forecast

Baez

$4,507 vol

Race Intel

TX-20 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJoaquin Castro (D)Running for re-election

TX-20 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Edgardo BaezR
$66.7K
6.8%
$66.7K raised·6.8% small donors
Joaquin CastroD
$586.1K
7.9%
$586.1K raised·7.9% small donors

Castro vs. Baez Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet

Kalshi oddsCastro 95%Baez 5% · $1,167 traded

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-20 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +28.4%2020D +40.2%