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  1. House

TX-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Steve Toth
Republican party
94%

Steve Toth

Republican party
94%
Shaun Finnie
Democratic party
6%

Shaun Finnie

Democratic party
6%
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TX-02 House winner?

Steve Toth

Odds
94% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Finnie
Nov 3 ·R +10.5margin forecast
Toth
$5,444 vol
Race Intel

TX-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDan Crenshaw (R)Lost primary

TX-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Shaun FinnieD
    $2.7M
    2.1%
    $2.7M raised·2.1% small donors
  • Steve TothR
    $976.4K
    6.0%
    $976.4K raised·6.0% small donors

Toth vs. Finnie Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsToth 94%Finnie 6% · $1,578 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.8%2020R +21.5%