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House

TX-37 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

100

Chance

Greg Casar

Democratic party

96.6%

Greg Casar

Democratic party

96.6%

Lauren B. Peña

Republican party

3.4%

Lauren B. Peña

Republican party

3.4%

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TX-37 House winner?

Greg Casar

Dollars$

Odds

99% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Casar

Nov 3 ·D +63.5margin forecast

Peña

$18,668 vol

Race Intel

TX-37 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentLloyd Doggett (D)Not seeking re-election

TX-37 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Greg CasarD
$1.4M
21%
$1.4M raised·21% small donors
Lauren PeñaR
$130K
79%
$130K raised·79% small donors

Casar vs. Peña Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet

Kalshi oddsCasar 97%Peña 3% · $2,413 traded

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-37 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +56.2%2020D +62.3%