Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive104AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE104
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

AR-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Rick Crawford
Republican party
98.8%

Rick Crawford

Republican party
98.8%
Terri Yarbrough Green
Democratic party
1.2%

Terri Yarbrough Green

Democratic party
1.2%
People are also trading
Series Image
Arkansas's 1st District margin of victory
Series Image
Arkansas 01 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
AR-01 House election: Rick Crawford vote percent
Series Image
AR-01 House election: Terri Green vote percent
Series Image
Texas Senate winner?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Series Image
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Series Image
Ohio Governor winner?
Series Image
New York Governor winner?
Series Image
Texas Governor winner?

More Arkansas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Arkansas races

Arkansas Senate race: Cotton vs. ShoffnerArkansas Governor race: Sanders vs. LoveAR-02 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Nevada Governor race: Ford vs. LombardoFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonMassachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomVermont Governor race: Scott vs. JanooMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth
AR-01 House winner?

Rick Crawford

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Green
Nov 3 ·R +38.7margin forecast
Crawford
$25,854 vol
Race Intel

AR-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentEric Crawford (R)Running for re-election

AR-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Rick CrawfordR
    $1.1M
    1.1%
    $1.1M raised·1.1% small donors
  • Terri GreenD
    $111.9K
    23%
    $111.9K raised·23% small donors

Crawford vs. Green Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsCrawford 99%Green 1% · $22.2K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AR-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +45.3%2020R +40.9%