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  1. US Elections
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Which party will win the U.S. Senate?

Settles on media consensus; if no consensus, President pro tempore's party on 2/1/27
2
Combo
Chance
Democratic Party
63%

Democratic Party

63%
Republican Party
37%

Republican Party

37%
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Who Will Control the Senate in 2026?

35 Senate seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 63% chance of winning control.

The races most likely to decide control are Texas, Michigan, Ohio, Maine, Kansas, Alaska and Alabama. Each has its own market below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate raceMichigan Senate raceOhio Senate raceMaine Senate raceKansas Senate raceAlaska Senate raceAlabama Senate raceNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanIowa Senate raceTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. Hinojosa

More races

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Combo
Which party will win the U.S. Senate?
Democratic Party

Democratic Party

Odds
65% chance
Max payout
Feb 1, 2027
$0
Democrat
Nov 3
Republican
$69,265,692 vol