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Governor

New Mexico Governor winner?

Resolves by winning party

Chance

Deb Haaland

Democratic party

92.1%

▼ 1.5

Deb Haaland

Democratic party

92.1%

▼ 1.5

Greggory D. Hull

Republican party

7.9%

▲ 1.5

Greggory D. Hull

Republican party

7.9%

▲ 1.5

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New Mexico Governor election: Deb Haaland vote percent

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New Mexico Governor election: Gregg Hull vote percent

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New Mexico Governor winner?

Deb Haaland

Dollars$

Odds

94% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Haaland

Nov 3 ·D +12.0margin forecast

Hull

$122,360 vol

Race Intel

New Mexico Governor Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentMichelle Lujan Grisham (D)Term-limited

New Mexico Governor Candidates

CandidatePolls

Gregg HullR42.4%
42.4%
Deb HaalandD41.9%
41.9%

Haaland vs. Hull Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageHull +0.542.4% vs. 41.9%

Kalshi oddsHaaland 92%Hull 8% · $114.6K traded

Polling averages

Past New Mexico Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +6.0%2020D +10.8%