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  1. Senate

New Mexico Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Ben Ray Luján
Democratic party
97.4%

Ben Ray Luján

Democratic party
97.4%
Larry E. Marker
Republican party
2.6%

Larry E. Marker

Republican party
2.6%
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More New Mexico and 2026 Midterm Races

More New Mexico races

New Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. Hull

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

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New Mexico Senate winner?

Ben Ray Luján

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Luján
Nov 3 ·D +20.7margin forecast
Marker
$67,225 vol
Race Intel

New Mexico Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBen Ray Lujan (D)Running for re-election

New Mexico Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ben Ray LujánD
    $5.6M
    21%
    $5.6M raised·21% small donors
  • Larry MarkerR
    $92K
    7.8%
    $92K raised·7.8% small donors

Luján vs. Marker Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsLuján 97%Marker 3% · $59.1K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past New Mexico Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +6.0%2020D +10.8%