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  1. Senate
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Begins in 13 days · Nov 3, 8:00am EST
Chance
Democrats sweep
65%
▲ 1

Democrats sweep

65%
▲ 1
D-House, R-Senate
27%
▼ 1

D-House, R-Senate

27%
▼ 1
Republicans sweep
9.4%
▼ 1.6

Republicans sweep

9.4%
▼ 1.6
R-House, D-Senate
0.6%
▼ 0.2

R-House, D-Senate

0.6%
▼ 0.2

2026 Midterm Election Predictions

On November 3, 2026, voters choose all 435 House seats and 35 Senate seats. Kalshi traders give a Democratic sweep of both chambers a 65% chance, a Democratic House with a Republican Senate 27%, and a Republican sweep 9%.

Follow control of each chamber and the races that decide it below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Kentucky Senate race: Barr vs. BookerColorado Governor race: Weiser vs. MarxAlaska Governor raceNew Jersey Senate race: Booker vs. MurphyKansas Governor race: Masterson vs. HolscherAlabama Governor race: Tuberville vs. JonesNew Mexico Governor race: Haaland vs. HullLouisiana Senate race: Letlow vs. DavisMaine Governor race: Pingree vs. CharlesMassachusetts Senate race: Markey vs. Deaton
Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?

Democrats sweep

Odds
67% chance
Max payout
Feb 1, 2027
$0
$45,446,581 vol