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  1. House

AR-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
French Hill
Republican party
79%
▼ 5

French Hill

Republican party
79%
▼ 5
Chris Jones
Democratic party
21%
▲ 5

Chris Jones

Democratic party
21%
▲ 5
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AR-02 House election: Chris Jones vote percent
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AR-02 House election: French Hill vote percent
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AR-02 House winner?

French Hill

Odds
80% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Jones
Nov 3 ·R +6.7margin forecast
Hill
$75,050 vol
Race Intel

AR-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJ. Hill (R)Running for re-election

AR-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Chris JonesD45.3%
    45.3%
    $1.8M
    25%
    $1.8M raised·25% small donors
  • French HillR45.3%
    45.3%
    $5M
    0.7%
    $5M raised·0.7% small donors

Hill vs. Jones Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageTie45.3% vs. 45.3%
Kalshi oddsHill 79%Jones 21% · $66.9K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past AR-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +15.5%2020R +13.1%