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  1. US Elections
  2. /
  3. 2026 midterm predictions

Which party will win the U.S. House?

2
Combo
Chance
Democratic Party
90.2%
▲ 0.1

Democratic Party

90.2%
▲ 0.1
Republican Party
9.8%
▼ 0.1

Republican Party

9.8%
▼ 0.1
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Who Will Win the House in 2026?

All 435 House seats are on the ballot on November 3, 2026. A party needs 218 seats for a majority. Kalshi traders give Democrats a 90% chance of winning control of the House.

Control will come down to 31 competitive districts. The most traded have their own markets below.

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Congress balance of power

Key House races

MT-01 House raceNY-17 House raceVA-01 House raceTX-23 House raceFL-14 House racePA-01 House raceAL-02 House raceVA-05 House raceTX-35 House racePA-08 House race

Top Senate and governor races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. Jolly

More races

Nevada Governor race: Ford vs. LombardoFlorida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonMassachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomVermont Governor race: Scott vs. JanooMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. Demuth
Combo
Which party will win the U.S. House?
Democratic Party

Democratic Party

Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Feb 1, 2027
$0
Democrat
Nov 3
Republican
$114,723,261 vol