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  1. Senate

Oklahoma Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Chance
Kevin Hern
Republican party
96.9%
▲ 0.2

Kevin Hern

Republican party
96.9%
▲ 0.2
N’Kiyla Thomas
Democratic party
3.1%
▼ 0.2

N’Kiyla Thomas

Democratic party
3.1%
▼ 0.2
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More Oklahoma and 2026 Midterm Races

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Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

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Oklahoma Senate winner?

Kevin Hern

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Thomas
Nov 3 ·R +25.0margin forecast
Hern
$48,169 vol
Race Intel

Oklahoma Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAlan Armstrong (R)Not seeking re-election

Oklahoma Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kevin HernR
    $10.8M
    2.0%
    $10.8M raised·2.0% small donors
  • N’Kiyla Jasmine ThomasD
    $107K
    59%
    $107K raised·59% small donors

Hern vs. Thomas Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsHern 97%Thomas 3% · $45.2K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Oklahoma Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +34.3%2020R +33.1%