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  1. Senate

Arkansas Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Chance
Tom Cotton
Republican party
95.6%
▲ 1.9

Tom Cotton

Republican party
95.6%
▲ 1.9
Hallie Shoffner
Democratic party
4.4%
▼ 1.9

Hallie Shoffner

Democratic party
4.4%
▼ 1.9
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Arkansas Senate winner?

Tom Cotton

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Shoffner
Nov 3 ·R +15.1margin forecast
Cotton
$290,226 vol
Race Intel

Arkansas Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTom Cotton (R)Running for re-election

Arkansas Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Tom CottonR50.4%
    50.4%
    $7M
    9.3%
    $7M raised·9.3% small donors
  • Hallie ShoffnerD38.7%
    38.7%
    $3.7M
    33%
    $3.7M raised·33% small donors

Cotton vs. Shoffner Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageCotton +11.750.4% vs. 38.7%
Kalshi oddsCotton 96%Shoffner 4% · $271.1K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Arkansas Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +30.6%2020R +27.6%