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  1. Senate

Virginia Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Mark Warner
Democratic party
98%
▲ 0.2

Mark Warner

Democratic party
98%
▲ 0.2
Bert Mizusawa
Republican party
2%
▼ 0.2

Bert Mizusawa

Republican party
2%
▼ 0.2
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Virginia Senate election: Bert Mizusawa vote percent
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Virginia Senate election: Mark Warner vote percent

More Virginia and 2026 Midterm Races

More Virginia races

VA-01 House raceVA-05 House raceVA-02 House race

Control of Congress

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Virginia Senate winner?

Mark Warner

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Warner
Nov 3 ·D +20.9margin forecast
Mizusawa
$41,494 vol
Race Intel

Virginia Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentMark Warner (D)Running for re-election

Virginia Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Bert MizusawaR
    $990.5K
    29%
    $990.5K raised·29% small donors
  • Mark WarnerD
    $19.9M
    16%
    $19.9M raised·16% small donors

Warner vs. Mizusawa Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsWarner 98%Mizusawa 2% · $36.6K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Virginia Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +5.8%2020D +10.1%