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House
WA-04 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Amanda McKinney
Republican party
92.7%
Yes
92.9¢
No
7.7¢
Amanda McKinney
Republican party
92.7%
Yes
92.9¢
No
7.7¢
John Duresky
Democratic party
7.3%
Yes
7.3¢
No
93.1¢
John Duresky
Democratic party
7.3%
Yes
7.3¢
No
93.1¢
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Buy
Sell
Dollars
WA-04 House winner?
Amanda McKinney
YES 92.9¢
NO 7.7¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
93% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Duresky
Nov 3
·
R +12.0
margin forecast
McKinney
$33,056 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
WA-04 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Dan Newhouse (R)
Not seeking re-election
WA-04 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Amanda McKinney
R
$1.3M
20%
$1.3M raised
·
20% small donors
John Duresky
D
$179K
28%
$179K raised
·
28% small donors
McKinney vs. Duresky Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
McKinney 93%
Duresky 7% · $32.4K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past WA-04 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +20.6%
2020
R +17.0%