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Senate
Massachusetts Senate winner?
Resolves by winning party
Chance
Ed Markey
Democratic party
98.2%
▼ 0.4
Yes
98.4¢
No
1.8¢
Ed Markey
Democratic party
98.2%
▼ 0.4
Yes
98.4¢
No
1.8¢
John Deaton
Republican party
1.8%
▲ 0.4
Yes
2.2¢
No
98.4¢
John Deaton
Republican party
1.8%
▲ 0.4
Yes
2.2¢
No
98.4¢
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Dollars
Massachusetts Senate winner?
Ed Markey
YES 98.4¢
NO 1.8¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Markey
Nov 3
·
D +29.1
margin forecast
Deaton
$88,344 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
· Massachusetts
Massachusetts Senate Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Ed Markey (D)
Running for re-election
Massachusetts Senate Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Ed Markey
D
$5.4M
15%
$5.4M raised
·
15% small donors
John Deaton
R
$1.6M
5.4%
$1.6M raised
·
5.4% small donors
Markey vs. Deaton Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Markey 98%
Deaton 2% · $78.6K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past Massachusetts Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +25.2%
2020
D +33.5%