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  1. Senate

Oregon Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
2
Chance
Jeff Merkley
Democratic party
98.8%
▼ 0.3

Jeff Merkley

Democratic party
98.8%
▼ 0.3
David Brock Smith
Republican party
1.2%
▲ 0.3

David Brock Smith

Republican party
1.2%
▲ 0.3
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More Oregon and 2026 Midterm Races

More Oregon races

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Control of Congress

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Oregon Senate winner?

Jeff Merkley

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Merkley
Nov 3 ·D +25.0margin forecast
Smith
$17,895 vol
Race Intel

Oregon Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJeff Merkley (D)Running for re-election

Oregon Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • David Brock SmithR
    $290.7K
    43%
    $290.7K raised·43% small donors
  • Jeff MerkleyD
    $5.2M
    24%
    $5.2M raised·24% small donors

Merkley vs. Smith Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMerkley 99%Smith 1% · $13.4K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Oregon Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +14.3%2020D +16.1%