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2026 Midterms
Trending
Frequency
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Senate
House
Governor
Balance of Power
The “S&P” for politics, powered by Kalshi markets — one number to represent the shifts in political power.
Learn more
Combos
All markets
US Elections
Midterms
2028
Senate
House
Governor
International elections
Brazil
Referendums
Republicans
have a
53% chance
to control the Senate
Senate forecast
Democrats
have an
85% chance
to control the House
House forecast
Mixed Combos
Will any independent or 3rd party candidate win a House or Senate race this year?
Yes
1
%
No
99
%
$1 vol
1 market
House
2026: Trump’s dream year?
Yes
99
%
No
1
%
$207 vol
1 market
House
2026: Trump’s nightmare case?
Yes
10
%
No
40
%
$48 vol
1 market
US Elections
Will the same party control the U.S. House and Senate?
Yes
0
%
No
0
%
$0 vol
1 market
Senate
Red wave this year?
Yes
2
%
No
98
%
$1 vol
1 market
Senate
Ohio Governor-Senate combo
Amy Acton and Sherrod Brown win
1
%
Amy Acton and Jon Husted win
1
%
$4 vol
4 markets
Senate
New Hampshire Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
2
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
2
%
$4 vol
4 markets
Mixed Combos
How many Elon-backed challengers will win seats in Congress this year?
At least 25
2
%
At least 50
2
%
$121,688 vol
10 markets
Senate
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
1
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
1
%
$4 vol
4 markets
Senate
Maine Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
1
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Senate
Kansas Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
1
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Senate
Iowa Governor-Senate combo
Rob Sand and Josh Turek win
1
%
Rob Sand and Ashley Hinson win
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year? (Directional)
At least 1
1
%
At least 2
1
%
$24 vol
8 markets
Senate
How many states will elect a governor and senator from different parties this year?
Above 5
1
%
0
1
%
$21 vol
7 markets
Senate
Georgia Governor-Senate combo
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Jon Ossoff win
1
%
Keisha Lance Bottoms and Mike Collins win
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
US Elections
Georgia: Which elections will be won outright?
Governor
2
%
Senate
2
%
$27 vol
9 markets
California
LA Mayor - CA Governor Combo
Karen Bass and Tom Steyer
1
%
Karen Bass and Xavier Becerra
1
%
$27 vol
9 markets
Senate
Blue wave next year?
Yes
50
%
No
0
%
$3 vol
1 market
Senate
Blue tsunami next year?
Yes
50
%
No
0
%
$14 vol
1 market
Senate
Iowa Blue Wave Combo
Yes
1
%
No
99
%
$3 vol
1 market
Senate
2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
D-House, D-Senate
47
%
D-House, R-Senate
39
%
$1,505,185 vol
4 markets
Senate
Will Democrats win any statewide election in Texas this year? (Blexas)
Yes
1
%
No
99
%
$3 vol
1 market
Senate
Alaska Governor-Senate combo
Democrats sweep
1
%
Democratic Governor, Republican Senator
1
%
$12 vol
4 markets
