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  1. House

VA-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
John McGuire
Republican party
70%
▼ 2

John McGuire

Republican party
70%
▼ 2
Tom Perriello
Democratic party
30%
▲ 2

Tom Perriello

Democratic party
30%
▲ 2
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VA-05 House election: John McGuire vote percent

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VA-05 House winner?

John McGuire

Odds
72% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Perriello
Nov 3
McGuire
$319,011 vol
Race Intel

VA-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJohn McGuire (R)Running for re-election

VA-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • John McGuireR
    $2.2M
    23%
    $2.2M raised·23% small donors
  • Tom PerrielloD
    $2.1M
    9.9%
    $2.1M raised·9.9% small donors

McGuire vs. Perriello Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMcGuire 70%Perriello 30% · $307.5K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past VA-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +12.2%2020R +8.3%