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  1. House

PA-12 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Summer Lee
Democratic party
98.1%

Summer Lee

Democratic party
98.1%
James Hayes
Republican party
1.9%

James Hayes

Republican party
1.9%
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PA-12 House winner?

Summer Lee

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Lee
Nov 3 ·D +24.3margin forecast
Hayes
$69,968 vol
Race Intel

PA-12 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentSummer Lee (D)Running for re-election

PA-12 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • James HayesR
    $64.9K
    26%
    $64.9K raised·26% small donors
  • Summer LeeD
    $1.6M
    27%
    $1.6M raised·27% small donors

Lee vs. Hayes Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsLee 98%Hayes 2% · $62.7K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-12 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +19.2%2020D +19.9%