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  1. House

NC-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Greg Murphy
Republican party
83%

Greg Murphy

Republican party
83%
Raymond Smith Jr.
Democratic party
17%

Raymond Smith Jr.

Democratic party
17%
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NC-03 House winner?

Greg Murphy

Odds
86% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Smith
Nov 3 ·R +7.3margin forecast
Murphy
$14,802 vol
Race Intel

NC-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentGregory Murphy (R)Running for re-election

NC-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Greg MurphyR
    $2.8M
    1.1%
    $2.8M raised·1.1% small donors
  • Raymond Smith Jr.D
    $223.1K
    32%
    $223.1K raised·32% small donors

Murphy vs. Smith Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMurphy 83%Smith 17% · $9,939 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NC-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.6%2020R +8.3%