Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive104AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE104
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

MN-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Ilhan Omar
Democratic (DFL) party
92%
▼ 1.1

Ilhan Omar

Democratic (DFL) party
92%
▼ 1.1
John Nagel
Republican party
5.8%
▼ 0.1

John Nagel

Republican party
5.8%
▼ 0.1
DeVelle Jackson
Independent
<1%

DeVelle Jackson

Independent
<1%
People are also trading
Series Image
Minnesota Attorney General winner?
Series Image
Minnesota's 5th District margin of victory
Series Image
Minnesota 05 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
Minnesota Governor-Senate combo
Series Image
MN-01 House winner?
Series Image
MN-08 House winner?
Series Image
Minnesota State Senate winner?
Series Image
Minnesota Secretary of State winner?
Series Image
MN-02 House winner?
Series Image
MN-05 House election: Ilhan Omar vote percent

More Minnesota and 2026 Midterm Races

More Minnesota races

Minnesota Senate race: Flanagan vs. TafoyaMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. DemuthMN-01 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. Whatley

More races

Florida Senate race: Moody vs. NixonMassachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomVermont Governor race: Scott vs. JanooMichigan Governor race: Benson vs. JamesIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. Achilles
MN-05 House winner?
Ilhan Omar

Ilhan Omar

Odds
94% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Omar
Nov 3 ·D +54.2margin forecast
Nagel
$616,573 vol
Race Intel

MN-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentIlhan Omar (D)Running for re-election

MN-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ilhan OmarD
    $5.8M
    63%
    $5.8M raised·63% small donors
  • John NagelR
    $1M
    70%
    $1M raised·70% small donors

Omar vs. Nagel Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsOmar 92%Nagel 6% · $598.2K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MN-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +61.9%2020D +63.1%