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  1. House

MN-01 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Brad Finstad
Republican party
75%
▼ 2

Brad Finstad

Republican party
75%
▼ 2
Jake Johnson
Democratic (DFL) party
25%
▲ 2

Jake Johnson

Democratic (DFL) party
25%
▲ 2
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MN-01 House winner?

Brad Finstad

Odds
78% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Johnson
Nov 3 ·R +3.2margin forecast
Finstad
$381,032 vol
Race Intel

MN-01 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBrad Finstad (R)Running for re-election

MN-01 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • Brad FinstadR46.0%
    46.0%
    $2.6M
    6.8%
    $2.6M raised·6.8% small donors
  • Jake JohnsonD45.2%
    45.2%
    $3.2M
    29%
    $3.2M raised·29% small donors

Finstad vs. Johnson Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageFinstad +0.846.0% vs. 45.2%
Kalshi oddsFinstad 75%Johnson 25% · $367K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MN-01 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +12.0%2020R +9.2%