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  1. House

MD-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Sarah Elfreth
Democratic party
96.9%

Sarah Elfreth

Democratic party
96.9%

Berney Flowers
Republican party
3.1%

Berney Flowers

Republican party
3.1%

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MD-03 House winner?

Sarah Elfreth

Odds
99% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Elfreth
Nov 3 ·D +31.4margin forecast
Flowers
$2,744 vol
Race Intel

MD-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentSarah Elfreth (D)Running for re-election

MD-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Berney FlowersR
    $31K
    23%
    $31K raised·23% small donors
  • Sarah ElfrethD
    $1.4M
    5.4%
    $1.4M raised·5.4% small donors

Elfreth vs. Flowers Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsElfreth 97%Flowers 3% · $2,272 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MD-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +23.5%2020D +25.5%