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House
CT-01 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Luke Bronin
Democratic party
98%
Yes
96.8¢
No
6¢
Luke Bronin
Democratic party
98%
Yes
96.8¢
No
6¢
Amy Chai
Republican party
2%
Yes
3.6¢
No
98.2¢
Amy Chai
Republican party
2%
Yes
3.6¢
No
98.2¢
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Buy
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Dollars
CT-01 House winner?
Luke Bronin
YES 96.8¢
NO 6¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Bronin
Nov 3
·
D +32.6
margin forecast
Chai
$41,026 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
CT-01 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
John Larson (D)
Running for re-election
CT-01 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Amy Chai
R
$20.8K
8.9%
$20.8K raised
·
8.9% small donors
Luke Bronin
D
$3.7M
3.9%
$3.7M raised
·
3.9% small donors
Bronin vs. Chai Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Bronin 98%
Chai 2% · $5,969 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past CT-01 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
D +22.9%
2020
D +28.1%