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  1. House

PA-15 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Glenn Thompson
Republican party
95.1%
▼ 0.4

Glenn Thompson

Republican party
95.1%
▼ 0.4
Ray Bilger
Democratic party
4.9%
▲ 0.4

Ray Bilger

Democratic party
4.9%
▲ 0.4
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PA-15 House winner?

Glenn Thompson

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Bilger
Nov 3 ·R +31.4margin forecast
Thompson
$13,288 vol
Race Intel

PA-15 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentGlenn Thompson (R)Running for re-election

PA-15 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Glenn ThompsonR
    $2.1M
    2.4%
    $2.1M raised·2.4% small donors
  • Ray BilgerD
    $139.5K
    30%
    $139.5K raised·30% small donors

Thompson vs. Bilger Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsThompson 95%Bilger 5% · $12.6K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-15 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +38.0%2020R +37.0%