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  1. House

PA-09 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Dan Meuser
Republican party
91.5%
▼ 1.9

Dan Meuser

Republican party
91.5%
▼ 1.9

Rachel Wallace
Democratic party
8.5%
▲ 1.9

Rachel Wallace

Democratic party
8.5%
▲ 1.9

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PA-09 House winner?

Dan Meuser

Odds
95% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Wallace
Nov 3 ·R +30.3margin forecast
Meuser
$6,946 vol
Race Intel

PA-09 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentDaniel Meuser (R)Running for re-election

PA-09 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Dan MeuserR
    $2.1M
    0.4%
    $2.1M raised·0.4% small donors
  • Rachel WallaceD
    $697.9K
    25%
    $697.9K raised·25% small donors

Meuser vs. Wallace Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMeuser 92%Wallace 9% · $4,067 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past PA-09 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +37.9%2020R +36.5%