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  1. House

NY-18 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Pat Ryan
Democratic party
95.3%

Pat Ryan

Democratic party
95.3%
Jacqueline Auringer
Republican party
4.7%

Jacqueline Auringer

Republican party
4.7%
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NY-18 House winner?

Pat Ryan

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Ryan
Nov 3 ·D +16.3margin forecast
Auringer
$20,939 vol
Race Intel

NY-18 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentPatrick Ryan (D)Running for re-election

NY-18 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jacqueline AuringerR
    $89.7K
    12%
    $89.7K raised·12% small donors
  • Pat RyanD
    $4.7M
    5.2%
    $4.7M raised·5.2% small donors

Ryan vs. Auringer Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsRyan 95%Auringer 5% · $20.4K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-18 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +3.3%2020D +9.1%