Cash
Portfolio
TrendingMidtermsElectionsPoliticsSportsCultureCryptoCommoditiesClimateEconomicsMentionsFinanceTech & Science
PredictLive104AccountSocial
MARKETSPERPSLIVE104
Product
Kalshi ProPerpetual FuturesMarketsIncentive programInstitutionsAPI & developers
Company
AboutKalshi ResearchBlogCareersPolicy CenterBrand Kit
Help
Help CenterFAQFee scheduleTrading hoursRegulatoryTrust Center
© 2026 Kalshi Inc. · All rights reserved
PrivacyData Terms of ServiceTrading ProhibitionsFAQ for Finance Professionals
Trading on Kalshi involves risk and may not be appropriate for all. Members risk losing their cost to enter any transaction, including fees. You should carefully consider whether trading on Kalshi is appropriate for you in light of your investment experience and financial resources. Any trading decisions you make are solely your responsibility and at your own risk. Information is provided for convenience only on an "AS IS" basis. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. Kalshi is subject to U.S. regulatory oversight by the CFTC.
Series Image
  1. House

NY-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Andrew Garbarino
Republican party
83%
▼ 3

Andrew Garbarino

Republican party
83%
▼ 3
Patrick Halpin
Democratic party
17%
▲ 3

Patrick Halpin

Democratic party
17%
▲ 3
People are also trading
Series Image
New York Governor winner?
Series Image
New York 02 House General Election: voter turnout
Series Image
New York's 2nd District margin of victory
Series Image
New York Attorney General winner?
Series Image
NY-17 House winner?
Series Image
NY-01 House winner?
Series Image
NY-21 House winner?
Series Image
NY-04 House winner?
Series Image
NY-02 House election: Andrew Garbarino vote percent
Series Image
NY-03 House winner?

More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

More New York races

New York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanNY-17 House raceNY-01 House raceNY-03 House raceNY-21 House raceNY-04 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonMaine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Maryland Governor race: Moore vs. CoxNebraska Governor race: Pillen vs. WalzNew Mexico Senate race: Luján vs. MarkerConnecticut Governor race: Lamont vs. FazioOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. ThomasSouth Carolina Governor race: Wilson vs. JohnsonRhode Island Senate race: Reed vs. McKayColorado Senate race: Hickenlooper vs. BaisleyVirginia Senate race: Warner vs. MizusawaWest Virginia Senate race: Capito vs. Anderson
NY-02 House winner?

Andrew Garbarino

Odds
86% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Halpin
Nov 3 ·R +9.1margin forecast
Garbarino
$31,053 vol
Race Intel

NY-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentAndrew Garbarino (R)Running for re-election

NY-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Andrew GarbarinoR
    $3.5M
    0.2%
    $3.5M raised·0.2% small donors
  • Patrick HalpinD
    $576.6K
    11%
    $576.6K raised·11% small donors

Garbarino vs. Halpin Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsGarbarino 83%Halpin 17% · $21.4K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +13.9%2020R +2.4%