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House

NY-19 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

Chance

Josh Riley

Democratic party

98%

Josh Riley

Democratic party

98%

Peter Oberacker

Republican party

2%

Peter Oberacker

Republican party

2%

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New York Governor winner?

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New York's 19th District margin of victory

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New York 19 House General Election: voter turnout

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More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

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Control of Congress

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NY-19 House winner?

Josh Riley

Dollars$

Odds

97% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Riley

Nov 3 ·D +15.6margin forecast

Oberacker

$15,866 vol

Race Intel

NY-19 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJosh Riley (D)Running for re-election

NY-19 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

Josh RileyD
$4.8M
9.1%
$4.8M raised·9.1% small donors
Peter OberackerR
$1.4M
19%
$1.4M raised·19% small donors

Riley vs. Oberacker Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet

Kalshi oddsRiley 98%Oberacker 2% · $11.8K traded

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-19 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +1.8%2020D +4.5%