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  1. House

NY-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Laura Gillen
Democratic party
92.9%
▲ 0.2

Laura Gillen

Democratic party
92.9%
▲ 0.2
Jeanine Driscoll
Republican party
7.1%
▼ 0.2

Jeanine Driscoll

Republican party
7.1%
▼ 0.2
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NY-04 House winner?

Laura Gillen

Odds
94% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Gillen
Nov 3 ·D +12.2margin forecast
Driscoll
$99,934 vol
Race Intel

NY-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentLaura Gillen (D)Running for re-election

NY-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jeanine DriscollR
    $664.6K
    5.5%
    $664.6K raised·5.5% small donors
  • Laura GillenD
    $6M
    6.2%
    $6M raised·6.2% small donors

Gillen vs. Driscoll Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsGillen 93%Driscoll 7% · $89.8K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +1.3%2020D +14.5%