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House

NY-22 House winner?

Resolves by winning party

Chance

John Mannion

Democratic party

94.3%

John Mannion

Democratic party

94.3%

Kailee Buller

Republican party

5.7%

Kailee Buller

Republican party

5.7%

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New York Governor winner?

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More New York and 2026 Midterm Races

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NY-22 House winner?

John Mannion

Dollars$

Odds

96% chance

Max payout

Nov 3, 2027

$0

Mannion

Nov 3 ·D +19.4margin forecast

Buller

$19,298 vol

Race Intel

NY-22 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election

IncumbentJohn Mannion (D)Running for re-election

NY-22 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors

John MannionD
$3.1M
12%
$3.1M raised·12% small donors
Kailee Tkacz BullerR
$429K
5.4%
$429K raised·5.4% small donors

Mannion vs. Buller Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet

Kalshi oddsMannion 94%Buller 6% · $15.1K traded

Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-22 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +7.7%2020D +11.4%