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  1. House

TX-22 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Trever Nehls
Republican party
94.6%

Trever Nehls

Republican party
94.6%
Marquette Greene-Scott
Democratic party
5.4%

Marquette Greene-Scott

Democratic party
5.4%
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TX-22 House winner?

Trever Nehls

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Greene-Scott
Nov 3 ·R +13.3margin forecast
Nehls
$6,146 vol
Race Intel

TX-22 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTroy Nehls (R)Not seeking re-election

TX-22 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Marquette Greene-ScottD
    $63.4K
    39%
    $63.4K raised·39% small donors
  • Trever NehlsR
    $311.4K
    0.8%
    $311.4K raised·0.8% small donors

Nehls vs. Greene-Scott Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsNehls 95%Greene-Scott 5% · $4,928 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-22 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +22.1%2020R +17.2%