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  1. House

TX-19 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Tom Sell
Republican party
96.6%

Tom Sell

Republican party
96.6%
Kyle Rable
Democratic party
3.4%

Kyle Rable

Democratic party
3.4%
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More Texas and 2026 Midterm Races

More Texas races

Texas Senate race: Talarico vs. PaxtonTexas Governor race: Abbott vs. HinojosaTX-15 House raceTX-23 House raceTX-35 House raceTX-28 House raceTX-34 House race

Control of Congress

Which party will win the Senate?Which party will win the House?Congress balance of power

Top races

Maine Senate race: Jackson vs. CollinsMichigan Senate race: El-Sayed vs. RogersOhio Senate race: Brown vs. HustedIowa Senate race: Hinson vs. TurekNew York Governor race: Hochul vs. BlakemanKansas Senate race: Marshall vs. HamiltonSouth Carolina Senate race: Graham vs. AndrewsFlorida Governor race: Donalds vs. JollyNorth Carolina Senate race: Cooper vs. WhatleyOhio Governor race: Acton vs. Ramaswamy

More races

Massachusetts Governor race: Healey vs. MinogueWisconsin Governor race: Crowley vs. TiffanyPennsylvania Governor race: Shapiro vs. GarrityMontana Senate race: Alme vs. BodnarArizona Governor race: Hobbs vs. BiggsMississippi Senate race: Hyde-Smith vs. ColomVermont Governor race: Scott vs. JanooMinnesota Governor race: Klobuchar vs. DemuthMichigan Governor race: Benson vs. JamesIdaho Senate race: Risch vs. Achilles
TX-19 House winner?

Tom Sell

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Rable
Nov 3 ·R +40.6margin forecast
Sell
$7,418 vol
Race Intel

TX-19 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJodey Arrington (R)Not seeking re-election

TX-19 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Kyle RableD
    $46.2K
    46%
    $46.2K raised·46% small donors
  • Tom SellR
    $2.4M
    0.4%
    $2.4M raised·0.4% small donors

Sell vs. Rable Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsSell 97%Rable 3% · $6,686 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TX-19 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +51.7%2020R +46.2%