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  1. House

TN-06 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Johnny Garrett
Republican party
95%

Johnny Garrett

Republican party
95%
Mike Croley
Democratic party
5%

Mike Croley

Democratic party
5%
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TN-06 House election: Johnny Garrett vote percent

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TN-06 House winner?

Johnny Garrett

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Croley
Nov 3 ·R +15.7margin forecast
Garrett
$5,536 vol
Race Intel

TN-06 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJohn Rose (R)Not seeking re-election

TN-06 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Johnny GarrettR
    $2.4M
    9.1%
    $2.4M raised·9.1% small donors
  • Mike CroleyD
    $103.8K
    35%
    $103.8K raised·35% small donors

Garrett vs. Croley Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsGarrett 95%Croley 5% · $2,342 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past TN-06 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +26.5%2020R +20.7%