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  1. Senate

Tennessee Senate winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
Bill Hagerty
Republican party
95.4%
▼ 0.6

Bill Hagerty

Republican party
95.4%
▼ 0.6
Marquita Bradshaw
Democratic party
4.6%
▲ 0.6

Marquita Bradshaw

Democratic party
4.6%
▲ 0.6
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Tennessee Senate election: Bill Hagerty vote percent

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Control of Congress

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Tennessee Senate winner?

Bill Hagerty

Odds
96% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Bradshaw
Nov 3 ·R +23.7margin forecast
Hagerty
$453,705 vol
Race Intel

Tennessee Senate Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentBill Hagerty (R)Running for re-election

Tennessee Senate Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Bill HagertyR
    $8.2M
    13%
    $8.2M raised·13% small donors
  • Marquita BradshawD
    $2,257
    89%
    $2,257 raised·89% small donors

Hagerty vs. Bradshaw Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsHagerty 95%Bradshaw 5% · $443.2K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past Tennessee Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +29.7%2020R +23.2%