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House
OK-05 House winner?
Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Stephanie Bice
Republican party
88%
Yes
90¢
No
11¢
Stephanie Bice
Republican party
88%
Yes
90¢
No
11¢
Jena Nelson
Democratic party
12%
Yes
14¢
No
89¢
Jena Nelson
Democratic party
12%
Yes
14¢
No
89¢
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Dollars
OK-05 House winner?
Stephanie Bice
YES 90¢
NO 11¢
3.5% Interest
Dollars
$
Odds
91% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Sign up to trade
Nelson
Nov 3
·
R +9.4
margin forecast
Bice
$38,163 vol
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Race Intel
OK-05 House Race 2026
Election
Nov 3, 2026
General election
Incumbent
Stephanie Bice (R)
Running for re-election
OK-05 House Candidates and Fundraising
Candidate
Raised
Small Donors
Jena Nelson
D
$739K
32%
$739K raised
·
32% small donors
Stephanie Bice
R
$2.4M
2.6%
$2.4M raised
·
2.6% small donors
Bice vs. Nelson Polls vs. Kalshi Odds
Polling average
No public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi odds
Bice 88%
Nelson 12% · $21.8K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200.
This does not include third party expenditures.
Past OK-05 Election Results
Past presidential elections
2024
R +18.2%
2020
R +16.9%