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  1. House

OK-04 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Tom Cole
Republican party
94.6%

Tom Cole

Republican party
94.6%
Mitchell Jacob
Democratic party
5.4%

Mitchell Jacob

Democratic party
5.4%
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OK-04 House winner?

Tom Cole

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Jacob
Nov 3 ·R +29.7margin forecast
Cole
$4,898 vol
Race Intel

OK-04 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTom Cole (R)Running for re-election

OK-04 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Mitchell JacobD
    $115K
    27%
    $115K raised·27% small donors
  • Tom ColeR
    $4.2M
    2.8%
    $4.2M raised·2.8% small donors

Cole vs. Jacob Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsCole 95%Jacob 5% · $3,932 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past OK-04 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +32.9%2020R +31.6%