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  1. House

OK-05 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Stephanie Bice
Republican party
85%
▼ 3

Stephanie Bice

Republican party
85%
▼ 3
Jena Nelson
Democratic party
15%
▲ 3

Jena Nelson

Democratic party
15%
▲ 3
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More Oklahoma races

Oklahoma Governor race: Mazzei vs. MunsonOklahoma Senate race: Hern vs. Thomas

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OK-05 House winner?

Stephanie Bice

Odds
88% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Nelson
Nov 3 ·R +7.2margin forecast
Bice
$40,863 vol
Race Intel

OK-05 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentStephanie Bice (R)Running for re-election

OK-05 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Jena NelsonD
    $739K
    32%
    $739K raised·32% small donors
  • Stephanie BiceR
    $2.4M
    2.6%
    $2.4M raised·2.6% small donors

Bice vs. Nelson Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsBice 85%Nelson 15% · $24.1K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past OK-05 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +18.2%2020R +16.9%