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  1. House

NY-21 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
Anthony Constantino
Republican party
72%
▼ 1

Anthony Constantino

Republican party
72%
▼ 1
Blake Gendebien
Democratic party
28%
▲ 1

Blake Gendebien

Democratic party
28%
▲ 1
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NY-21 House winner?

Anthony Constantino

Odds
74% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Gendebien
Nov 3 ·R +5.2margin forecast
Constantino
$183,045 vol
Race Intel

NY-21 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentElise Stefanik (R)Not seeking re-election

NY-21 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Anthony ConstantinoR
    $9.5M
    0.0%
    $9.5M raised·0.0% small donors
  • Blake GendebienD
    $5.5M
    47%
    $5.5M raised·47% small donors

Constantino vs. Gendebien Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsConstantino 72%Gendebien 28% · $152.3K traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NY-21 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +20.7%2020R +15.7%