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  1. House

NM-03 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100


Chance

Teresa Leger Fernández
Democratic party
95.4%

Teresa Leger Fernández

Democratic party
95.4%

Martin Zamora
Republican party
4.6%

Martin Zamora

Republican party
4.6%

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NM-03 House winner?

Teresa Leger Fernández

Odds
97% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Fernández
Nov 3 ·D +19.2margin forecast
Zamora
$8,175 vol
Race Intel

NM-03 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTeresa Leger Fernandez (D)Running for re-election

NM-03 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Martin ZamoraR
    $598.7K
    5.1%
    $598.7K raised·5.1% small donors
  • Teresa LegerD
    $1.6M
    8.5%
    $1.6M raised·8.5% small donors

Fernández vs. Zamora Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsFernández 95%Zamora 5% · $7,228 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past NM-03 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024D +4.8%2020D +10.8%