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  1. House

MI-02 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
100
Chance
John Moolenaar
Republican party
97.3%
▲ 0.8

John Moolenaar

Republican party
97.3%
▲ 0.8
Benjamin Ambrose
Democratic party
2.7%
▼ 0.8

Benjamin Ambrose

Democratic party
2.7%
▼ 0.8
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MI-02 House winner?

John Moolenaar

Odds
98% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Ambrose
Nov 3 ·R +25.0margin forecast
Moolenaar
$13,696 vol
Race Intel

MI-02 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentJohn Moolenaar (R)Running for re-election

MI-02 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidateRaisedSmall Donors
  • Ben AmbroseD
    $85.1K
    23%
    $85.1K raised·23% small donors
  • John MoolenaarR
    $2M
    2.3%
    $2M raised·2.3% small donors

Moolenaar vs. Ambrose Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageNo public polling average for this race yet
Kalshi oddsMoolenaar 97%Ambrose 3% · $9,919 traded
Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MI-02 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +30.1%2020R +28.2%