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  1. House

MI-07 House winner?

Resolves by winning party
Chance
William Lawrence
Democratic party
64%

William Lawrence

Democratic party
64%
Tom Barrett
Republican party
36%

Tom Barrett

Republican party
36%
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MI-07 House winner?

William Lawrence

Odds
66% chance
Max payout
Nov 3, 2027
$0
Lawrence
Nov 3 ·D +2.1margin forecast
Barrett
$115,074 vol
Race Intel

MI-07 House Race 2026

ElectionNov 3, 2026General election
IncumbentTom Barrett (R)Running for re-election

MI-07 House Candidates and Fundraising

CandidatePollsRaisedSmall Donors
  • William LawrenceD48.2%
    48.2%
    $1.1M
    26%
    $1.1M raised·26% small donors
  • Tom BarrettR47.0%
    47.0%
    $7.9M
    24%
    $7.9M raised·24% small donors

Lawrence vs. Barrett Polls vs. Kalshi Odds

Polling averageLawrence +1.248.2% vs. 47.0%
Kalshi oddsLawrence 64%Barrett 36% · $87.6K traded
Polling averages · Fundraising: FEC filings · Small-donor ≤ $200. This does not include third party expenditures.

Past MI-07 Election Results

Past presidential elections

2024R +1.3%2020D +0.5%